Producers’ Pick | Adm. James Stavridis is Worried About a “Miscalculation” in the Taiwan Strait

So China's broken of talks with us on military, and climate. They've also personally sanction Nancy Pelosi intermediate family with the aftermath and what about these exercises, how they're playing out. Amanda knows the region as well as anyone in the country joined just now. Adm. James diabetes Adm. welcome back with your take on the impact of the speakers trip well very unhelpful to US China relations, but let me begin by saying we cannot see to China. The ability to dictate who can calm and who can tell whether they are private citizens or senior government officials that our call, and, above all, it's the call of the Taiwanese. Having said that, tactically, Brian. This is going to put a lot of sand in the gears in terms of trying to reduce tensions, and here's what I'm really worried about you got Chinese fighter pilots to Chinese destroyer captains are operating under very tense circumstances they surrounded, effectively blockading Taiwan just a few hundred miles away to the east are the three US carriers so one nuclear powered two of our conventional power, very capable US strikeforce they're gonna come in contact and so the real worry grind is a miscalculation that occurs up there in the air.

In particular, as it did about 20 years ago when USP three was forced down the lantern behind an island so we gotta remember up their findings just that's not Tony blanket up there client and hornet meal measured Cobb Senior, etc. this is Goossen maverick if you will, are up there in their equivalents on the Chinese side so the potential for an incident, a miscalculation, a spark is pretty hot right now so we understand the drills run six zones is over the last two days.

Are there really looks like.

Just for some people are saying you're looking like it's a dry run for sealing off the island you wrote about different ways in which this war would begin with the takeover the of Taiwan would happen is this it certainly we have studied this weedy U.S. Navy we the Department of Defense have thought China might instead of launching an immediate full out invasion might start with a blockade and boy there showing us what it would look like they're just flooding zones all around the island. North South East and West are launching missiles just off axis from the mainland that are not getting Taiwan butter by hitting parts of the Pacific Ocean to the north and south.

As you mentioned there potentially over flying very very dangerous situation. And yeah, this is a bit of the dry run for what a blockade would look like and if they institute that then the international community has a big decision to make. Just like were making in Ukraine right now with the grain shipments coming out do we go ineffectively and crack that blockade. So this is a path to real escalation very worrisome. So we see that Japan is called in trying to stop the exercises. Five.

The missiles lens and the so-called economic zones and China's Foreign Ministry as they walked out of dinner at a regional diplomatic form in protest of the criticism from the US and other nations. By the way they been acting since the visit, so some of these things you are pretty jar are pretty direct. The other thing China did is they were no longer talk about climate military with the ramifications of that if any of the military.

One worries me, particularly because what we were discussing is a series of communication protocol so that if a Chinese fighter and a US fighter ended up in the same airspace. How would they communicate how would they ensure they didn't have an inadvertent miscalculation. As we were talking about earlier when that stops again.

The risk of miscalculation goes up, look, climate, long-term issue that can be put on pause, but I worry a lot.

Additionally, you're to be talking to an economist shortly. I think ask him about the impact of this will be on economic talks. Potentially we were thinking about lifting tariffs which would help US consumers now that looks like it's on hold. So overall we got a very difficult tactical situation here. I am not predicting out for the next few weeks or months, but I do worry about a miscalculation that could spark something broader Fox News senior meteorologist.

Be sure to subscribe to the GST podcast Fox News podcast.com or wherever you listen to your podcast and don't forget to spread the sunshine Williams in the Pentagon is doing another incident. Intercontinental ballistic missile test to avoid get this angry China during their military drills even though ours was announced.

Some people are saying that that shows a weakness for postponing a routine test launch of an Air Force Minuteman three Intercontinental missile to avoid further problems you fully field that sends the wrong message.

I think that our audit be business as usual.

We are to be sailing ships, where they would normally go.

We are to be conducting military training and tests. We are to be doing our land exercises are Marines to be deploying where date the employee in the Pacific business as usual at the same time saying to China look. We stopped you. We should've done the rest. Yes, I agree with that. I think that business as usual is the order of the day alongside a message to China that looked were not looking to escalate the situation and neither should you.

It's not an either nations interest so I am standing behind the scenes. You, you know, diplomacy. You also know military behind the scenes, the State Department and the White House officials. One said he was. Not a good time to go one use postponement and evidently her indications was this is going to be like a capstone to my career.

If that's the case, this would be a totally selfish move. I'll let others judge whether the motivations of the speaker were purely political, personal, somewhere in between, or both, but I will say this. It's an unhelpful time for a visit like this and it has done nothing to try and reduce tension in the region is confrontational and I don't think it's a good time for that kind of move on the part of the senior US official. So what happens is we finding out that I want to assure fighter pilots a lot of their submarines from World War II.

A lot of the stuff is out of date.

They need more to defend themselves so we going to blatantly get them defensive weapons like their own. Hi Mars or whatever would take to be six missile defense and if we do that can you see China interdicting the delivery we ought to be headed again here with Taiwan meaning offered them the opportunity to purchase.

Let's not forget this is a very rich countries is very different in Ukraine as a standalone economy.

A nation of 23 million people roughly the 30th largest economy in the world. They certainly have the capacity to purchase weapons from lots from the West from any source that makes sense.

What they need our antiship cruise missiles. They need smart minds that can go into the water be turned on, be turned off as necessary. They need better missile defense. They need better cyber I'm a little surprised we haven't seen a Chinese cyber attack directed at Taiwan. Watch for that over the next 48 hours, the point is the Taiwanese can and should be purchasing weapons. We are to make sure that we offer them the systems that make the most sense to defend themselves, which is Gordon Chang said about what their ultimate goal is with Russia cut 15.

Certainly China would like to replace the dollar as a global reserve currency with the Rev. Booth outsiders want to do this for decades talker so the Russians but now they're actually attacking the dollar because they think they can get away with it and so therefore this is a moment of vulnerability because certainly if we don't have a global reserve currency. The power of the United States will be substantially diminished.

Talk about that. The feasibility of that would mean please Gordon is absolutely right that China and Russia are drawing together.

There doing military exercises all over the world are aligning politically and economically.

They would love to see it diminishment of the US dollar as a reserve currency in terms of their ability to manifest that I think it's pretty low right now simply because look at the facts on the ground every time tension start to rise up people demand dollars they want dollars. We continue to have the strongest economy in the world that we thought five years ago, China would be overtaking us about now. Now it's now let's wait and see. China has major demographic problems. Major internal economic problems so I think the chances of Russia, which has broken economy, particularly under sanctions.

In China, which has its own set of challenges, particularly under constant covert lockdown. The chances of them squeezing the US dollar out of its position as the top reserve currency. I think are unlikely in the near term.

Leslie just about Ukraine.

Will you hear about the operation. Ukraine's under to take back your son and of the bone abridges kind of trying to box in the Russian occupying forces is you. Can you shed any light on that for listeners I can. It's going reasonably well.

There doing exactly what you describe grinder kind cut off the logistics as we all know Russian logistics have been pathetic throughout this period, what Ukrainians want to do is isolate those Russian courses cracked around the no move offensively. I think they got a reasonably good chance it will be taking the strategic city of Tucson that would be a major tactical victory in a major psychological victory. Would you urge the Pentagon and the White House to back off the vaccination policy, but you're about to lose tens of thousands of national guardsmen who do not want to be vaccinated in the time in which the vaccination is not effective in the booster doesn't address is Varian.

Should we really be diminishing or National Guard forces. Because of that, I disagree that we should walk away from the vaccination shot him a firm believer in the vaccine. It's not perfect. No vaccine is but you know when I joined the Navy. I took nine vaccinations. I took 11 Amtrak shots in the run-up to the Persian Gulf War. I think there are still good strong reasons to apply those vaccines are no I would not argue for taking those ways 40,000 National Guard members 20,000 army reservists will be told to hit the streets.

Is that okay let's wait and see how it all comes out in terms of numbers but the bottom line is if you won't take the vaccine that I just talk for. I think very clear medical reasons. I'm not sure I want you as my shipmate headed into combat.

I know I want to get into this, but I also know three college athletes who have been unable to get back in the field because the vaccine and the swelling of the heart, and there there and they were in prime shape. I'm sure we can find lots of anecdotes on the other hand, I would argue that the vaccines have saved hundreds of thousands if not millions of American lives. I think that's indisputable scientifically because I just I don't think me, I as I assume you I assume you are vaccinated.

You know well I I got vaccinated, but I not get boosted. The booster doesn't stop effective against is Varian. I see no reason for but that's a decision that I think even there, changing the policy gradually in businesses around the country and hate for the Army to pay the price I have for the military pay the price. I'll say this.

Brian policies to change as new facts emerge as I look at the fact pattern at this moment, I would still advocate for the shot right we see video now from Thursday of the speaker in Japan. She was just in South Korea. Thanks so much Adm. will keep up with. Thanks much for running the breaking news with us just subscribe and listen to the tree. Go to federal prosecutor and four term US Congressman from South Carolina brings you a one-of-a-kind pungent describing with no test.com