Producers’ Pick | Adm. James Stavridis: Expect Heavy U.S. Losses in a Conflict with China over Taiwan

Personal pleasure personal auto glass was just north of Crimea has begun a very modest spilled a lot of preparation to employees doing the news this will turn out to be as important toward Ukrainians, but territories of the Russians used as a national community continue to support them. As a result of that, they failed to take the territory back. Ukrainians are very concerned that the international community will begin to walk away only not precipitously immediately but over time, that is the fundamental concern. Yeah, there were about the nuclear power plant the word about taking back territory and your son means a lot to try to keep everything down in the progress you're making low, they are also trying to infiltrate areas that Russia stole my Crimea and the New York Times reported that Ukrainians take responsibility for it blowing up nine planes inside Crimea. One of the sabotage operations that would their goal is to make every bit of land that you could that rush is taken and tried to annex and make them up, make them fear for their lives on a daily basis. If they can't take it back. Make them be impossible to settle and will Jim Servetus is all about a 16 supreme Allied Cmdr. of NATO author brisket all nine conflicts in the crucible crucible of decision Adm., welcome back.

Who can you tell me about this more particular because I think something's changed since we spoke two weeks ago and I'm not seeing much land as much land grab my many many miles of land grab by the Russians down the Russian fences that you and I and Jack Keene talked about a couple weeks ago is really grinding slowly at all, and what's happening in courses massive losses.

US intelligence now estimating 70,000 Russians either killed or wounded off the battlefield that roughly half the combat strength started with 25% of all the equipment he went in with destroy probably a bit more energy just point out this kind of stunning behind enemy lines, the dirty dozen kind of raid against the airfield in Crimea taking out a substantial chunk of the workplace. So things are kind of moving in Ukrainians correction with Gen. Jack, we need to watch what happens around this town of Pierce on inch-thick gateway to Crimea controls the water supplies into Crimea.

If the Ukrainians can pull that one off taking that territory back. I think the will have a great deal of momentum headed into the fall campaign.

How close is this Iranian field Iranians in European Union or are seem to be hammering this out.

The Russians are doing directly as well will could you tell us about it and how concerned should we be well. I spent a lot of time in the Middle East and have often bought carpet there but rugs many of which are made in Iraq Persian carpets and whenever you're in a transaction about buying a run in the Middle East to include in a ran it's good to be very hard to ultimately close the deal and what you're seeing is the Iranian say that looks good that looks good were very close looks quite a minute. We got one more thing we want to nail down here now where we this morning the Europeans appear to be crafting some kind of agreement that would take one of the big hard stops for Iran off the table. That's the inspection of their nuclear program and if they do that if the Europeans are successful with your radiance and I think you have probably at two and three chance of this deal coming through, which is way up from where I thought it would be six months ago so we caught him cheating. They want to stop the investigation into the cheating and that we would agree not even look into that site. One of what a joke. Eileen, how is this in the best interest of our country. I know it's rhetorical and that provision where the Russians hold the weapon eyes uranium and they give it back. If we do if we tear up the deal like trumpets of the Republican walks in.

Marco Rubio becomes president. He was you I hate to steal and rip it up so the Russians come in with the uranium and give it back to the Iranians, but the unbelievable I agree with everything you said this deal has more holes than Swiss cheese. And it particularly is distasteful in a period of time when becomes that guarantor, if you will. While he's invading Ukraine and by the way is being hosted repeatedly in Tehran by his new best friends. The Iranians doesn't look like like a good landing to me.

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Marilyn Fox is going to start, or wherever you get your projects so the weeds and what everybody's watching Taiwan and the speakers visit Taiwan was really surrounded in a series of war. A wargames or or military exercises that gave us an idea of how the Chinese might invade Ukraine might invade Taiwan. What is your take away from that and will could you tell us about these DC wargames that have US and China fighting over Taiwan treatment take away from the Chinese reaction to the Pelosi visit number one that they've given us a pretty clear look at their work plan in this is what US intelligence is postulated all along it will be blockaded long-range ballistic missiles.

But the only thing we didn't see them exercise was the energization of a column that undoubtedly is built in the Taiwanese society, special forces, targeted assassinations, explosions all over the island so we got a good look at the work plan number two we see that US is going to have a very challenging time pushing this back and will come of that one. Check in with the wargames and number three little noticed but the Taiwanese response their military exercises which are going on over the last couple of days. Kind of in response, Joe very capable, very motivated force a bottom line, we need to do more to ensure the Taiwanese are ready to fight. In a way that Ukrainians were not and we had low weapons in very late game. Let's do that earlier yes to the wargames simply grind they show how tough a fight. This will be I think many Americans think the U.S. Navy would just fall over the Chinese maybe that's not how this is going to come out to be huge losses on both sides the outcome. I still Adm. still rather have the American hand of cards to play in this than the Chinese one, but it's going to be hard-fought with a lot of casualties 18 to 22 rounds of game played with it that this points Chinese missiles think a large part of the US and Japanese service fleet and destroy hundreds of aircraft on the ground.

However, Allied air enable counterattacks hammer the exposed Chinese amphibious and surface lead the reason for the US losses is that the United States cannot conduct a systematic campaign to take down Chinese defenses before moving in close by the Ice Age must send forces to attack the Chinese fleet to get a sense of the scale. The losses in our last game iteration United States was over 900 fighter attack aircraft in a four-week conflict. That's about half the Navy and Air Force inventory, but they do believe that Taiwan could repel an invasion correct and if you think about it.

Taiwan is a tough nut to crack.

It's an island that has an 80 mile boat right in front of it, in and of course the vast Pacific Ocean. On the other side in the island. If you've ever been there. I have is very mountainous, it gets covered with forests on the Taiwanese have plans how to fall back if they need to even it that Chinese could get a total bold it would be a very tough fight on the island itself. Bottom line client. One thing to worry about that we haven't mentioned and was explicitly excluded from the Margate was what if the Japanese don't let us use the basins that would be very significant, and a second thing is, it was no use of tactical nuclear weapon, something that I explored and you know in my novel 2034 novel of the next world war, a book about a war between the US and China. So even with the massive losses were talking about. There are other twists of the wheel of fate that could undermine this campaign. It will be very challenging. But once he drives me nuts is that we could talk about what do you Taiwan need to defend itself. I have not heard any consummation of any of these requests for defensive weapons that would repel China every week you that we know exactly what they want to know exactly what we can give him for not doing it. What is the hold. I think at this point the light is going on across the political aisle that we have to do this.

It's been in a back-and-forth stage, but I think Brian this is something that there is agreement from Pelosi on one side of Mitch McConnell on the other side.

And frankly, the war in Ukraine to tell us if we put the weapon systems in there, we can deter China and avoid a war so I think you're going to see motion on this pretty significant in the fall. And in that sense we can hopefully get ahead of the curve in a way that we weren't in Ukraine all right will see how it goes. Any word is the Russians are paying an economic price is significant as they need to to revisit the wisdom of this war slowly but steadily.

These sanctions are biting. But let's face it, it's going to take time for those economics to come into play that thing to why they now put to the negotiating table is actually not the sanctions that will be helpful thing. Don't push it will be the combat losses he suffrage the Ukrainians are making the Russians paper every inch of territory Crimea could end up soaked and Russian blood. That is what is going to get to that table and that's what we need to put in the hands of the Ukrainians the tools to accomplish using numbers 85,000 wounded or killed is that correct absolutely and let's make a point that US intelligence which historically is very conservative and how they make those kind of assessments. British intelligence puts those numbers even higher.

This is a massive loss of personnel in final thought. Brian has thrown open jail cells in Russia saying to felons, murderers, thieves pay I will commute your sentence from teen years or 20 years down to six months and give you time served.

If you will go and fight in Ukraine.

Think about that desperate is that I will. He will not have addressed the boomerang on them and Jim Servetus. Thanks so much Eventbrite have a great weekend. That's a lot of knowledge I just don't know who first two people in the country can talk to to give you a more solid update on a chance of winning a war against China. What's actually happening. Ukraine how bad this running deal is. So with that we laid the groundwork and were also following this story the press United States medically through his website. True socials looks like twitter that he has no problem releasing the warrant, no probably is the affidavit that was handed to him as the FBI decides to grade to grade marl I go on Monday what they talk what they were looking for and why the Trump Is convinced that the Atty. Gen. is way over his skis.

There is a report that he had nuclear plans and details on nuclear weapons in his possession. I have not seen that confirmed where was that in June if you know about June 22, why did you wait till August. This is the brain to meet you in your knowledge base. Brian kill me show over 100 meteorologists and the worldwide resources a fox in your box. Whether blood's personal powerful subscriber Melissa Malik Fox is not just